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Questions tagged [autoregressive-model]

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10
votes
1answer
440 views

Why does over-modelling an adaptive AR NLMS filter fix sharp spikes?

I just simulated an auto-regressive second-order model fueled by white noise and estimated the parameters with normalized least-mean-square filters of orders 1-4. As the first-order filter under-...
8
votes
2answers
5k views

Different state-space representations for Auto-Regression and Kalman filter

I see that there are different ways to write an AR model into a state-space representation, so that we can apply Kalman filter to estimate the signal. See Example 1, 2 and 3 here. I wonder what ...
8
votes
2answers
256 views

What input to use for an AR model of a vowel sound?

I've recorded a 2-sec pronunciation of a vowel sound. The first 0.12 or so seconds of the signal are shown below. Now, I've constructed an auto-regressive (AR) 8th-order model to compress this signal....
5
votes
1answer
317 views

How to perform model fitting for system identification

I am having a really hard time in understanding how to formulate a model say linear AR model to represent a communication channel or maybe any motion. I have the experimental data representing the ...
5
votes
1answer
2k views

How to decide whether to use AR or MA for smoothing data?

Imagine I've got some offline data that I want to smooth. I could use an auto-regressive or moving-average filter of some appropriate order for conducting the smoothing. On which criteria should I ...
4
votes
1answer
3k views

ARMA vs. AR and then what?

Sorry if this sounds elementary but I am struggling to grasp the physical idea behind ARMA (auto-regressive, moving average) process. The "AR" part is intuitive and so is "MA", but put together? If I ...
4
votes
2answers
7k views

What are Autoregressive Coefficients?

Can anyone explain what are Autoregressive Coefficients? What is their meaning that is. Consider a method: ...
3
votes
1answer
184 views

ARMA (Auto Regressive Mean Average) Process Representation as AR (Auto Regressive)

Let's say we have an ARMA (Auto Regressive Moving Average Model) process where the transfer function is a minimum phase system (Namely Invertible). By Wold's Decomposition it is guaranteed to have MA ...
2
votes
1answer
5k views

Filtering a signal using Autoregressive (AR) filter and finding the coeff of AR filter using Yule Walker equation in MATLAB

I have a random signal x of 1000 samples and I've to generate y1 by filtering x using an ...
2
votes
1answer
267 views

Linear Prediction of AR Process

A discrete signal x is generated by the recursive process $$ x_n = x_{n-1} - 0.2 x_{n-2} + w_n $$ where $w_n$ is white noise with zero mean and unit variance. What is the optimum order of a linear ...
2
votes
1answer
91 views

Choosing inverse Z-transform equation, given that $|a|<1$

Given that $|a|<1$, then which of those inverse-Z-transform equations are we to use? I am leaning towards the first because (as I understand it), $z$ is merely a complex number that is evaluated ...
2
votes
2answers
79 views

Finding the auto-correlation sequence $r_{xx}[k]$ for an AR(2) process

Consider the following recursive difference equation of a LTI system, where $v[n]$ is a white noise, zero-mean process with $\sigma_v^2 = 1$. $ x[n] = v[n] + 0.75x[n-1]-0.25x[n-2] $ I want to ...
2
votes
1answer
295 views

Linear Predictive coding vs AR modeling

I'm looking for a suitable explanation of the circumstances in which the LPC error polynomial for a discrete time process x[n] is replaceable with an error polynomial categorized under the AR model? I ...
2
votes
1answer
436 views

Predicting account balance based on historical data

Given the values of a bank account balance over time (see figure below as an example), how can one predict the account balance at a given date in the future ? Should I just fit one linear regression ...
2
votes
1answer
192 views

Forecasting with ARMA models, from a filter point of view

ARMA models are afaik just filters with transfer function $ {MA(z) \over AR(z)} \equiv {FIR(z) \over IIR(z)} $ . However forecasters of stock prices, market trends ... seem to be mainly ...
2
votes
1answer
189 views

Conceptual Question from Signal Processing - Impulse Response and AR Coefficients

In continuation to the previous question Conceptual questions from signal processing I have a doubt which is: Consider an Autoregressive model (AR(2)): $$ y(t) = ay(t-1) + by(t-2) $$ and a FIR (...
2
votes
1answer
225 views

Autoregressive modeling (linear prediction) of electrical transmission lines?

I've read that the reflection coefficients in speech processing (as computed by the Levinson-Durbin algorithm for solving the Yule-Walker equations) "represent the fraction of energy reflected back" ...
2
votes
1answer
81 views

Two-Box-Model of a nonlinear amplifier

A nonlinearity with memory can be modelled by a two-box-model, which consists of a filter and a memoryless nonlinearity. I am referring to chapter 5.3.2 of the book "Simulation of Communication ...
2
votes
0answers
289 views

How to evaluate performance of an ARMA, MA or AR model?

How to evaluate performance of a model after estimating ARMA/MA/AR parameters for any process x(n)? How to regenerate back a process after estimating average parameters? what kind of performance ...
2
votes
0answers
112 views

How to estimate an auto-regressive model?

Given a periodic impulse train and it's impulse response, how is an auto-regressive model of this system computed or estimated?
1
vote
1answer
447 views

Simplest way to generate AR(2) process on MATLAB

As part of a project I need to use autocorrelation method of estimating model paramters of an autoregressive process on MATLAB. Can anyone tell me the simplest way to generate an AR(2) process on ...
1
vote
2answers
758 views

Practical examples of ARMA model

I am studying the Kalman filter and its basic implementation, and it was asked to use the filter to estimate a signal observed in noise $$y(n) = x(n) + v(n)$$ where $v(n) \sim \mathcal{N}(0, \sigma^2)$...
1
vote
1answer
191 views

How do I test stability of a MIMO system?

Let's say I have a system similar to two interconnected IIR filters described like this: \begin{align} x_1(t)&=a_{11} x_1(t-1)+a_{12} x_1(t-2) +a_{13} x_2(t-1) + a_{14} x_2(t-2)+y_1(t)\\ x_2(t)&...
1
vote
1answer
606 views

Can someone show the details of how to apply AIC for sinusoidal models to specific data?

NOTE: This is a question that another user has been trying (unsuccessfully) to ask. Because the multiple questions asking, essentially, the same thing have either been deleted by me (because they were ...
1
vote
1answer
86 views

Cost function for LTI system identification

I am currently reading and trying to understand a paper (Kulkarni and Colburn, 2004) that utilizes system identification methods to approximate head-related transfer functions. The general approach ...
1
vote
1answer
46 views

Explanation of Spectral Line Splitting when AR process is overmodeled

In the book Statistical Digital Signal Processing and Modeling by Monson Hayes, it is shown (in section 8.5.1) that when an AR(2) process described by the following difference equation $$x(n) = 0.9x(n-...
1
vote
2answers
71 views

Difference Between Two Forms of Equations of Auto Regressive (AR) Model

I found equation 1 for Autoregressive model in various books and articles but i also found equation 2 for AR model, I understand the physical meaning of the equation but two different equations ...
1
vote
1answer
152 views

Fourier transform relationship

I am having trouble understanding the relationship between a frequency function and it's Inverse Fourier transform. The Frequency function is $$\frac{1+0.8(e^{-j 2\pi f}+e^{j 2\pi f})+0.64}{1+1.4\...
1
vote
1answer
235 views

Physically understanding autoregressive model (really basic question)

I would like to basically understand what an autoregressive model is used for (so I don't really attempt maths in the answers). I just started a signal processing course and the model was introduced. ...
1
vote
1answer
298 views

How can I reconstruct a Time series using it AR coefficients in MATLAB?

I have estimated AR coefficients of a time series using "aryule" function in MATLAB. Now I want to obtain the error of the estimated model. I think at first I must reconstruct it. so How can I ...
1
vote
0answers
60 views

Zero-padding vs. nonzero-padding in computation of auto-correlation with FFT

Isn't the usual zero-padding in the computation of the auto-correlation function with FFT just one of many possible extrapolations of the original signal? If I have a measured signal which has good ...
1
vote
0answers
477 views

Linear Predictive Coding example in MATLAB

I have some data that is highly correlated and I wanted to see if I could try and encode it using linear predictive coding (LPC). Here is how I've been understanding the process: Encoding Generate ...
1
vote
0answers
78 views

Understanding linear predictive coding in MATLAB

I want to test my understanding of linear prediction by running it on some test data in MATLAB. The way I understand it is if I have some data that is correlated, I can encode the signal with linear ...
1
vote
1answer
141 views

Find filter coefficients to model a device using its measurement

I am trying to realize a digital filter that has the same freq. response of an existing speaker. I have fed an audio sine sweep to the speaker and measured the speaker output, both at 48kHz. Then I ...
1
vote
1answer
330 views

autoregressive moving average code implementation

I am new to DSP and i am trying to take a wav (human speech) file and apply ARMA filter and plot its PSD graph in python. I see that there are a lot of AR implementations but almost none ARMA. I ...
1
vote
0answers
67 views

derive AR model based on the autocorrelation of jakes model

I am trying to derive the channel model based on the autocorrelation of Jakes model. In step 2, i am trying to get rid of $s(n+1)$ by inserting it to $s(n-k)$ in which the limit will change. However i ...
1
vote
0answers
155 views

What is a “Unit Shock” in an Impulse Response Function?

Is a "one unit shock" in an impulse function of variable "temperature" a 1% increase or 1 more "unit" (1 degree)?
1
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0answers
38 views

Yule walker equation limited matrix size

Definitions For an ARMA model $$x_n=-\sum_{p=1}^P a_px_{n-p}+\sum_{q=0}^Qb_qw_{n-q}$$ where $w_n$ is zero mean stationary white noise with unit variance. It is straightforward to show that the ...
1
vote
0answers
261 views

ACF and PACF Confidence Levels for ARMA

I'm trying to figure out where exactly to draw the confidence levels for the autocorrleation function (ACF) and the partial autocorrelation function (PACF) for an ARMA model. For PACF I found that a ...
1
vote
0answers
68 views

Is a Stationary VAR Process with Zero Mean Gaussian Innovations a Gaussian Stationary Process?

Consider the stationary VAR process $${\bf X}_t = \sum_{\tau = 1}^{L} A_\tau {\bf X}_{t-\tau} +{\bf \epsilon}_t$$ If the innovations $\epsilon_t \sim MVN({\bf 0},\Sigma)$ then is ${\bf X}_t$ a ...
1
vote
0answers
62 views

Fitting VAR Process with Generalised Gaussian Noise

Consider the $m$-dimensional VAR process $${\bf x}_t = \sum_{l=1}^{P} A_l{\bf x}_{t-l} + {\bf e}_t$$ where the componenets of ${\bf e}_t$ are spatially and temporally independent and follow a ...
0
votes
1answer
2k views

Power spectral density interpretation

After reading this question: PSD (Power spectral density) explanation I am still a little confused as to what extra information the PSD gives us over simply taking the magnitude of the fourier ...
0
votes
1answer
752 views

How to estimate the autocorrelation from nonuniformly spaced data

Assume a continues-time random process $X(t)$ sampled nonuniformely in time to acquire discrete signal $x[n]$. The sampling times are known but the autocorrelation is not. Is there an accurate ...
0
votes
1answer
42 views

AR Modeling: Why residual is white noise?

I was going through AR modeling. The AR model of a covariance stationary process can be expressed as: $$x[n]=\sum\limits_{i=1}^{p} \alpha_i x[n-i] + \epsilon[n]$$ where $p$ is the model order and $...
0
votes
1answer
104 views

Fast Recursive 1D Signal Smoothing - IIR / Auto Regressive Implementation of Gaussian Smoothing

I have just begun to dive into the field of signal processing, but there is the need to program a digital filter, that has to smooth a realtime signal from a sensor device. As far as I know, in my ...
0
votes
1answer
73 views

ARMA & MA methods: how do you know the error terms?

Reading the ARMA model for the first time, and I'm confused. Let's say I have a time series x = [1, 2.1, 2.9, 3, 4.1] According to the ARMA model, $X_t$ is a ...
0
votes
1answer
69 views

Find the coefficient of an AR-model

How can I infer the coefficients for an AR(2) model given an autocorrelation plot? What I have tried so far: I can see this a cos-wave of 0.4 Hz, and then i find the values for each step $(1, 0.9211, ...
0
votes
2answers
44 views

Confusion regarding model order and lags

I have similar questions as the one asked in these posts: https://stackoverflow.com/questions/47083890/fir-filter-length-is-the-intercept-included-as-a-coefficient-matlab/47085339?noredirect=1#...
0
votes
1answer
1k views

How to generate colored Gaussian noise and adding it to a ODE system - Do I need Euler-Maruyama method?

In the tutorial, when white noise process is added to ordinary differential equations (ODE), the ODE becomes a stochastic process. Then the stochastic process needs to be solved using Euler Maruyama ...
0
votes
1answer
133 views

Autoregressive Exogenous model on multiple datasets in MATLAB

I had trouble translating this exact question into search queries, which is why I am turning to you. Any sources you can provide on the topic would be greatly appreciated. Say your data contains ...